Below is a graphic clipped from the front page of the Times at 9:37ET on Wednesday Jan 28.

The subheadline concludes “…in light of an uncertain forecast.”

The forecast was not uncertain. It was so certain that 5 governors declared states of emergency. It was so certain that thousands of flights were preemptively canceled. It was so certain that subways and bus routes were halted. Bllions of dollars of economic activity were compromised in the name of safety and millions or billions of dollars were spent on safety preparedness.

Think about what this means in light of other sexy topics de jour. The best forecasting resulted in a “miss” and billions of dollars wasted. The best.

-JD Cross

uncertain forecast

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